Michael Lewis follows a group of healthcare professionals who discovered the Pandemic before any of the Government agencies did. My favorite character is Charity Dean, a gifted California health official, who recognizes the threat of the Covid-19 virus way before the Centers for Disease Control had it on their radar. And Dr. Dean takes action, which the CDC avoids.
I also admire Richard Hatchett and Carter Mecher, who were part of the pandemic planning team under the George W. Bush administration and continued to work on pandemic preparedness under the Obama administration. John Bolton, Trump’s national security advisor, fired Tom Bossert (the Homeland Security Advisor) and demoted or fired everyone on the biological threat team (p. 163). After that, the Trump Administration had no contingency plans for pandemics.
Michael Lewis shows how a country with advanced medicine and vast health resources completely failed to protect its citizens from the coronavirus. New estimates claim close to a million Americans died from Covid-19. Joe DeRisi, a brilliant biologist, estimated that the U.S. should have lost 180,000 if all the pandemic preparations had been put into practice. Obviously, they weren’t.
The Premonition is in some ways a sequel to Lewis’s last book, The Fifth Risk (you can read my review here). In The Fifth Risk Lewis showed how Trump loaded the Federal agencies with political hacks and incompetent staff. Lewis predicted that when things would go wrong, the Federal Government would be inept at meeting the challenges. Lewis was right.
The Premonition is the best non-fiction book I’ve read in 2021. It’s funny, it’s sad, and it’s real. I highly recommend it. GRADE: A
TABLE OF CONTENTS:
Introduction: The missing Americans — xii
PART 1
Prologue: The looking glass — 3
ONE: Dragon — 10
TWO: The making of a public-health officer — 23
THREE: The pandemic thinker — 50
FOUR: Stopping the unstoppable — 78
FIVE: Clairvoyance — 112
PART 2
SIX: The red phone — 135
SEVEN: The redneck epidemiologist — 160
EIGHT: In Mann Gulch — 186
NINE: The L6 — 209
PART 3
TEN: The bug in the system — 241
ELEVEN: Plastic flowers — 270
EPILOGUE: The sin of omission — 297
Acknowledgments –303