Nate Silver correctly picked Obama to win the 2012 Presidential Election. But, what’s more impressive is he predicted correctly how 50 out of 50 states would vote. Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight blog was must reading for political junkies during the Presidential Campaign. Now, in The Signal & The Noise Nate Silver explains his methods in making such accurate predictions. My favorite chapter is Chapter Eight where Nate introduces us to his friend Bob who makes about a million dollars a year (sometimes $3 million or $4 million) betting solely on NBA games. Bob uses methods similar to Nate Silver’s. Nate also tells us how he made $400,000 playing poker. If you’re a gambler, this book is must-reading. If you’re just curious about how you can deal with the Future more competently, The Signal & The Noise is well worth a look. I found the book and its message completely fascinating! GRADE: A
He got me through October-November. My hero for 2012.
Nate Silver picked the New England Patriots and the San Francisco Forty-Niners to be in the Super Bowl, Patti. He was half right. But Silver’s political picks are 100% on the money.
Even the Ravens picked the Pats. No shame in that.
I’m liking the Ravens +4-points in the Super Bowl, Bob.
Nate is the man!
Sadly, Nate Silver was the object of scorn and derision during most of the 2012 Presidential Campaign by those who didn’t like his predictions, Jeff. But, in the end, Nate was right and they were WRONG!